Key points

  • Last year, the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) announced stricter listing requirements and disclosure rules, with the aim of reversing the ‘value-trap’ reputation of the Japanese market.
  • The TSE’s request for companies to disclose their plans to improve their capital efficiency has been misinterpreted by some as a focus simply on the price-to-book ratio (PBR).
  • The changes have been somewhat effective in driving up the volume of disclosures, but the quality of disclosures generally leaves much room for improvement, in our view.
  • However, disclosure alone will not be sufficient to change valuations; companies will have to appropriately assess and act on the reasons for current valuation levels.

What do recent reforms mean for Japanese companies?

Japanese corporate governance reforms have generated significant market interest over the years. These reforms have included the adoption and subsequent revisions of the stewardship code and corporate governance code which promoted board independence and diversity, and aimed to make boards more accountable and increase alignment with shareholders. Both domestic and international investors have closely followed market developments with the view that changes in disclosures, governance practices and corporate structures could improve the relatively lower valuations of Japanese stocks and attract investors to the region.

The updates to listing requirements announced in 2023 have again attracted attention. The Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) has tightened its listing criteria, encouraged companies to disclose plans to increase their capital efficiency, and announced stricter rules around diversity, disclosure and sustainability. The aim of the TSE reforms is to reverse the long-held ‘value-trap’ reputation of the Japanese market by urging listed companies “to be proactive in enhancing medium- to long-term value”1 and ultimately to attract global investors. To support this, the TSE also ruled that the companies listed in its top-tier ‘Prime’ market should make key disclosures simultaneously in English and Japanese from March 2025.

The disclosures on increasing capital efficiency are not a mandatory requirement, and there is no punishment imposed on the companies that fail to provide these details. However, the TSE is using an approach that is likely to encourage companies to make these disclosures voluntarily, such as sharing anonymous case studies online, highlighting strong disclosures, and publishing lists of disclosers. Next, it plans to broaden its scope to call out poor quality disclosures. With companies keen to be seen as setting a good example, this approach by the TSE may prove to be effective in the long run.

During a research trip to Japan, members of our responsible investment team and their Japan-based investment colleagues met the TSE, alongside other companies, to better understand the potential investment implications and opportunities associated with the change and to provide investor feedback from both Japanese and global perspectives.

Misplaced focus on PBR1

One of the most interesting takeaways of our research was that the TSE reforms have been misunderstood in some ways, both domestically and internationally. The TSE’s drive to encourage companies to prioritise their capital efficiency and to increase their book value seems to have been interpreted by parts of the market and the media as a focus on just one measure – the price-to-book ratio (PBR). Following the TSE’s announcements, ‘PBR1’, which refers to the PBR of companies for which the ratio is below 1, has become a buzzword. While the PBR has been highlighted because it is easy to understand, the TSE is not intending to mandate one measure or a specific threshold (such as a PBR of less than 1). There is a misperception that if a company’s PBR is above 1, it is not necessary to meet the request to “take action to implement management that is conscious of cost of capital and stock price”.2

This focus on the PBR appears somewhat misunderstood because the desired outcome is to drive growth and higher valuations in the Japanese market, and therefore requires the consideration of a broader range of financial measures. Companies should decide and concentrate on what is relevant to their business. For example, the TSE has highlighted the PBR, return on invested capital (ROIC), weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and return on equity (ROE) as relevant measures. At Newton, we use PBR1 not as an end goal, but as a starting point for analysis. Furthermore, our investment team compares the ROE and ROIC across companies, in addition to reviewing the action plans the companies have disclosed to improve these measures. Finally, the TSE is targeting all companies and not just those with a PBR below 1 or with lower capital efficiency. Over time, there has been an increase in companies with a PBR of greater than 1 disclosing their plans, suggesting that this misunderstanding is gradually being resolved in Japan.

How effective have the reforms been?

The changes have been somewhat effective in driving up the volume of disclosures (at around 60% for the Prime market), but the quality of disclosures generally leaves much room for improvement, in our view. It appears that many companies have rushed into disclosing their plans to improve their capital efficiency without first having taken the time to analyse their business. A company may have a low valuation for a number of reasons, and it is good business practice for the management and the board to identify the reasons for the low valuation before pushing forward a solution. There is an open question as to whether companies, in particular smaller companies, currently have the appetite or the resource to perform this analysis thoroughly.

Actions required to achieve management that is conscious of cost of capital and stock price

Source: Japan Exchange Group, Inc., 2024.3

Moreover, when implementing any changes, there is a balance to be struck between applying pressure on companies and avoiding a sharp response. Effectiveness often comes down to enforcement. In this instance, investors holding companies to account will be key. We believe that the success of these reforms will, in large part, be determined by how rigorously investors, both Japanese and global, assess the disclosures that the companies make and what details the investors demand of the investee companies. For example, if investors ask questions about the robustness of companies’ plans to increase their book value, it may encourage investee companies to be thorough in their assessment of their own business.

Not just a box-ticking exercise

While the TSE and regulator are placing increasing emphasis on efforts like disclosure reforms, in our opinion it is not a simple fix to address what we perceive to be a market discount. There is a risk that these reforms end up being a box-ticking exercise instead of having the intended effects. A significant structural change in company valuations will require incremental but widespread change, and we expect this to be slow moving and to require persistent efforts over the longer term. Disclosure alone will not be sufficient to change valuations; companies will have to appropriately assess the reasons for current valuation levels. In addition, isolated regulatory disclosures will be insufficient. Management and investor relations teams must be able to consistently articulate the ways in which they are responding to such reforms during investor outreach and in written materials. The use of dividends and buy-backs may affect valuations in the short term, but long-term investors will be assessing the cost of capital, restructuring and investments to enable future growth.

Your capital may be at risk. The value of investments and the income from them can fall as well as rise and investors may not get back the original amount invested.


Sources:

  1. Publication of Revised Japan’s Corporate Governance Code, Japan Exchange Group, 11 June 2021: https://www.jpx.co.jp/english/news/1020/20210611-01.html
  2. TSE to Publish a List of Companies That Have Disclosed Information Regarding “Action to Implement Management That Is Conscious of Cost of Capital and Stock Price”, Japan Exchange Group, 26 October 2023: https://www.jpx.co.jp/english/equities/follow-up/uorii50000004sse-att/o4sio70000000mi4.pdf
  3. Reminder Regarding the Criteria for Inclusion in the List of Companies That Have Disclosed Information Regarding “Action to Implement Management That Is Conscious of Cost of Capital and Stock Price”, Japan Exchange Group, 29 March 2024: https://www.jpx.co.jp/english/equities/follow-up/uorii50000004sse-att/dh3otn0000004cnc.pdf

Key Points

  • The Tokyo Stock Exchange made updates to its listing requirements last year, and as a result, there has been an increased impetus for investors to hold companies to account.
  • Improved disclosure by companies can be useful for investors to identify opportunities, and combining this with focused dialogue can help in understanding the full picture of an investment opportunity.
  • We believe that for the reforms to achieve the desired aims, a cultural change across corporate Japan is needed, which will be slow and require persistent efforts over the longer term.

Holding Companies to Account

In 2023, The Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) made updates to its listing requirements, tightening its listing criteria, encouraging companies to disclose plans to increase their capital efficiency, and announcing stricter rules around diversity, disclosure and sustainability. We discussed what these updates mean for investors in our blog Japan: Investment Implications of Corporate Governance Reforms.

A key implication of the reform is the additional impetus for investors to hold companies to account, both for their disclosures and the quality of their plans. We expect that for the initiatives to be most effective, investors will have to act as enforcers by providing additional incentive to meet the spirit of the requirements. Without such incentives, there is the possibility that companies respond with low-quality disclosures which are merely ‘box-ticking’ in nature, or with a plan lacking in credibility, with no repercussions.

Understanding the Full Picture

Improved access to information about a company’s capital management is helpful for active investors when analyzing opportunities. An ambitious plan with poor credibility, for which there is little faith that the management will be able to execute, could present an opportunity if investors were instead to believe in it. Dialogue with management can add valuable qualitative data points concerning the management’s actual priorities, thereby adding to investors’ confidence in the plan or otherwise. Ultimately, we see great value in combining disclosures with direct interaction with companies to understand the full picture.

Engagement Opportunities

Insights gained from company dialogue may also present opportunities to invest in companies in which investor confidence does not yet fully exist, or where its potential is not priced in by the market but we believe there to be a reasonable prospect of increasing conviction. A number of elements could improve investors’ confidence in a company: proposed changes to the company’s plan, enhancing its credibility; successful execution of the plan; or even improved transparency of the plan to the market, enabling the plan and potential investment implications to be fully recognized.

In cases where investors believe changes need to go further, they may turn to engagement.  Engagement at Newton centers on the purposeful dialogue that we can have with issuers to reduce risk and potentially add value to an investment. We set clear outcome-focused objectives for each engagement, tailored to the specific action the issuer can take to address the matter of concern, which can be evaluated over a suitable time horizon and can be linked back to a relevant investment thesis.[1] For this reason, capital allocation, as part of corporate governance and business strategy, is a topic that we tend to focus on when engaging with companies in Japan.

Engagement in Action

We engaged with a small-cap Japanese company which provides labor dispatching services such as outsourcing of permanent employees in manufacturing, design and development, construction, and other sectors across Japan. After analyzing its reporting, we considered disclosures to be insufficient, and consequently, there was an opportunity for the company to improve them and receive market recognition. This is frequently the case for smaller companies, which often have fewer resources to dedicate to reporting and market transparency, whether that be in relation to financial measures and/or sustainability. Specifically, we considered the following areas to be light on information: its required investments to achieve the mid-term plan, its expected cash flows, its target balance sheet, and its capital distribution plan. Having met the company, including external directors, we shared our view that improving these disclosures on the financial/capital allocation plan is important.

Positively, in the updated mid-term plan, the company had enhanced the disclosure of its financial and capital allocation plan. In addition, it amended the policy for the payout to shareholders, increasing the payout ratio. The market value of this company rose by more than 30%, which we consider to be in part owing to the increase in payout to shareholders. We expect to continue this dialogue with the company, and will monitor it to ensure that the capital allocation plan is both communicated and carried out successfully.

Meaningful Dialogue

This is another interesting period for the Japanese market, and many stakeholders appear to be keeping a keen eye on the impacts of the TSE’s latest initiatives and company responses. Even though there is considerable support and strong drivers behind the reforms, there is a risk that this does not move past a box-ticking exercise and does not deliver the intended effects. We believe that to achieve the desired aims, a cultural change across corporate Japan is needed, which will be slow and require persistent efforts over the longer term. However, the achievement of this could present mutual benefits for numerous stakeholders, including investors, their clients, companies and management. Meaningful dialogue between investors and investee companies, focused on financially material enhancements, within the context of the business model and culture, could begin to unlock such benefits.

However, even assuming a rising tide, we do not believe that the reforms will lift all boats. We believe that investors that can conduct meaningful analysis and dialogue with companies will be better able to identify investment opportunities. It will be imperative to understand businesses, the credibility and relevance of the capital allocation and financial plan, management’s ability to execute its plans, and their capacity to communicate effectively with the market. Investors can combine this understanding with targeted engagement to encourage improvements, where such improvements are likely to unlock value for all stakeholders. A local-market understanding of culture, language and context may support investors in doing so most effectively.


[1] View Our Approach to Engagement to learn more: https://newtonim.com/responsibleinvestment

Key points

  • The Tokyo Stock Exchange made updates to its listing requirements last year, and as a result, there has been an increased impetus for investors to hold companies to account.
  • Improved disclosure by companies can be useful for investors to identify opportunities, and combining this with focused dialogue can help in understanding the full picture of an investment opportunity.
  • We believe that for the reforms to achieve the desired aims, a cultural change across corporate Japan is needed, which will be slow and require persistent efforts over the longer term.

Holding companies to account

In 2023, The Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) made updates to its listing requirements, tightening its listing criteria, encouraging companies to disclose plans to increase their capital efficiency, and announcing stricter rules around diversity, disclosure and sustainability. We discussed what these updates mean for investors in our blog Japan: Investment implications of corporate governance reforms.

A key implication of the reform is the additional impetus for investors to hold companies to account, both for their disclosures and the quality of their plans. We expect that for the initiatives to be most effective, investors will have to act as enforcers by providing additional incentive to meet the spirit of the requirements. Without such incentives, there is the possibility that companies respond with low-quality disclosures which are merely ‘box-ticking’ in nature, or with a plan lacking in credibility, with no repercussions.

Understanding the full picture

Improved access to information about a company’s capital management is helpful for active investors when analysing opportunities. An ambitious plan with poor credibility, for which there is little faith that the management will be able to execute, could present an opportunity if investors were instead to believe in it. Dialogue with management can add valuable qualitative data points concerning the management’s actual priorities, thereby adding to investors’ confidence in the plan or otherwise. Ultimately, we see great value in combining disclosures with direct interaction with companies to understand the full picture.

We see great value in combining disclosures with direct interaction with companies to understand the full picture.

Engagement opportunities

Insights gained from company dialogue may also present opportunities to invest in companies in which investor confidence does not yet fully exist, or where its potential is not priced in by the market but we believe there to be a reasonable prospect of increasing conviction. A number of elements could improve investors’ confidence in a company: proposed changes to the company’s plan, enhancing its credibility; successful execution of the plan; or even improved transparency of the plan to the market, enabling the plan and potential investment implications to be fully recognised.

In cases where investors believe changes need to go further, they may turn to engagement.  Engagement at Newton centres on the purposeful dialogue that we can have with issuers to reduce risk and potentially add value to an investment. We set clear outcome-focused objectives for each engagement, tailored to the specific action the issuer can take to address the matter of concern, which can be evaluated over a suitable time horizon and can be linked back to a relevant investment thesis.[1] For this reason, capital allocation, as part of corporate governance and business strategy, is a topic that we tend to focus on when engaging with companies in Japan.

Engagement in action

We engaged with a small-cap Japanese company which provides labour dispatching services such as outsourcing of permanent employees in manufacturing, design and development, construction, and other sectors across Japan. After analysing its reporting, we considered disclosures to be insufficient, and consequently, there was an opportunity for the company to improve them and receive market recognition. This is frequently the case for smaller companies, which often have fewer resources to dedicate to reporting and market transparency, whether that be in relation to financial measures and/or sustainability. Specifically, we considered the following areas to be light on information: its required investments to achieve the mid-term plan, its expected cash flows, its target balance sheet, and its capital distribution plan. Having met the company, including external directors, we shared our view that improving these disclosures on the financial/capital allocation plan is important.

Positively, in the updated mid-term plan, the company had enhanced the disclosure of its financial and capital allocation plan. In addition, it amended the policy for the payout to shareholders, increasing the payout ratio. The market value of this company rose by more than 30%, which we consider to be in part owing to the increase in payout to shareholders. We expect to continue this dialogue with the company, and will monitor it to ensure that the capital allocation plan is both communicated and carried out successfully.

Meaningful dialogue

This is another interesting period for the Japanese market, and many stakeholders appear to be keeping a keen eye on the impacts of the TSE’s latest initiatives and company responses. Even though there is considerable support and strong drivers behind the reforms, there is a risk that this does not move past a box-ticking exercise and does not deliver the intended effects. We believe that to achieve the desired aims, a cultural change across corporate Japan is needed, which will be slow and require persistent efforts over the longer term. However, the achievement of this could present mutual benefits for numerous stakeholders, including investors, their clients, companies and management. Meaningful dialogue between investors and investee companies, focused on financially material enhancements, within the context of the business model and culture, could begin to unlock such benefits.

We believe that to achieve the desired aims, a cultural change across corporate Japan is needed

However, even assuming a rising tide, we do not believe that the reforms will lift all boats. We believe that investors that can conduct meaningful analysis and dialogue with companies will be better able to identify investment opportunities. It will be imperative to understand businesses, the credibility and relevance of the capital allocation and financial plan, management’s ability to execute its plans, and their capacity to communicate effectively with the market. Investors can combine this understanding with targeted engagement to encourage improvements, where such improvements are likely to unlock value for all stakeholders. A local-market understanding of culture, language and context may support investors in doing so most effectively.


[1] View Our approach to engagement to learn more: https://newtonim.com/responsibleinvestment

Key points

  • Last year, the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) announced stricter listing requirements and disclosure rules, with the aim of reversing the ‘value-trap’ reputation of the Japanese market.
  • The TSE’s request for companies to disclose their plans to improve their capital efficiency has been misinterpreted by some as a focus simply on the price-to-book ratio (PBR).
  • The changes have been somewhat effective in driving up the volume of disclosures, but the quality of disclosures generally leaves much room for improvement, in our view.
  • However, disclosure alone will not be sufficient to change valuations; companies will have to appropriately assess and act on the reasons for current valuation levels.

What do recent reforms mean for Japanese companies?

Japanese corporate governance reforms have generated significant market interest over the years. These reforms have included the adoption and subsequent revisions of the stewardship code and corporate governance code which promoted board independence and diversity, and aimed to make boards more accountable and increase alignment with shareholders. Both domestic and international investors have closely followed market developments with the view that changes in disclosures, governance practices and corporate structures could improve the relatively lower valuations of Japanese stocks and attract investors to the region.

The updates to listing requirements announced in 2023 have again attracted attention. The Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) has tightened its listing criteria, encouraged companies to disclose plans to increase their capital efficiency, and announced stricter rules around diversity, disclosure and sustainability. The aim of the TSE reforms is to reverse the long-held ‘value-trap’ reputation of the Japanese market by urging listed companies “to be proactive in enhancing medium- to long-term value”1 and ultimately to attract global investors. To support this, the TSE also ruled that the companies listed in its top-tier ‘Prime’ market should make key disclosures simultaneously in English and Japanese from March 2025.

The disclosures on increasing capital efficiency are not a mandatory requirement, and there is no punishment imposed on the companies that fail to provide these details. However, the TSE is using an approach that is likely to encourage companies to make these disclosures voluntarily, such as sharing anonymous case studies online, highlighting strong disclosures, and publishing lists of disclosers. Next, it plans to broaden its scope to call out poor quality disclosures. With companies keen to be seen as setting a good example, this approach by the TSE may prove to be effective in the long run.

During a research trip to Japan, members of our responsible investment team and their Japan-based investment colleagues met the TSE, alongside other companies, to better understand the potential investment implications and opportunities associated with the change and to provide investor feedback from both Japanese and global perspectives.

Misplaced focus on PBR1

One of the most interesting takeaways of our research was that the TSE reforms have been misunderstood in some ways, both domestically and internationally. The TSE’s drive to encourage companies to prioritise their capital efficiency and to increase their book value seems to have been interpreted by parts of the market and the media as a focus on just one measure – the price-to-book ratio (PBR). Following the TSE’s announcements, ‘PBR1’, which refers to the PBR of companies for which the ratio is below 1, has become a buzzword. While the PBR has been highlighted because it is easy to understand, the TSE is not intending to mandate one measure or a specific threshold (such as a PBR of less than 1). There is a misperception that if a company’s PBR is above 1, it is not necessary to meet the request to “take action to implement management that is conscious of cost of capital and stock price”.2

This focus on the PBR appears somewhat misunderstood because the desired outcome is to drive growth and higher valuations in the Japanese market, and therefore requires the consideration of a broader range of financial measures. Companies should decide and concentrate on what is relevant to their business. For example, the TSE has highlighted the PBR, return on invested capital (ROIC), weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and return on equity (ROE) as relevant measures. At Newton, we use PBR1 not as an end goal, but as a starting point for analysis. Furthermore, our investment team compares the ROE and ROIC across companies, in addition to reviewing the action plans the companies have disclosed to improve these measures. Finally, the TSE is targeting all companies and not just those with a PBR below 1 or with lower capital efficiency. Over time, there has been an increase in companies with a PBR of greater than 1 disclosing their plans, suggesting that this misunderstanding is gradually being resolved in Japan.

How effective have the reforms been?

The changes have been somewhat effective in driving up the volume of disclosures (at around 60% for the Prime market), but the quality of disclosures generally leaves much room for improvement, in our view. It appears that many companies have rushed into disclosing their plans to improve their capital efficiency without first having taken the time to analyse their business. A company may have a low valuation for a number of reasons, and it is good business practice for the management and the board to identify the reasons for the low valuation before pushing forward a solution. There is an open question as to whether companies, in particular smaller companies, currently have the appetite or the resource to perform this analysis thoroughly.

Actions required to achieve management that is conscious of cost of capital and stock price

Source: Japan Exchange Group, Inc., 2024.3

Moreover, when implementing any changes, there is a balance to be struck between applying pressure on companies and avoiding a sharp response. Effectiveness often comes down to enforcement. In this instance, investors holding companies to account will be key. We believe that the success of these reforms will, in large part, be determined by how rigorously investors, both Japanese and global, assess the disclosures that the companies make and what details the investors demand of the investee companies. For example, if investors ask questions about the robustness of companies’ plans to increase their book value, it may encourage investee companies to be thorough in their assessment of their own business.

Not just a box-ticking exercise

While the TSE and regulator are placing increasing emphasis on efforts like disclosure reforms, in our opinion it is not a simple fix to address what we perceive to be a market discount. There is a risk that these reforms end up being a box-ticking exercise instead of having the intended effects. A significant structural change in company valuations will require incremental but widespread change, and we expect this to be slow moving and to require persistent efforts over the longer term. Disclosure alone will not be sufficient to change valuations; companies will have to appropriately assess the reasons for current valuation levels. In addition, isolated regulatory disclosures will be insufficient. Management and investor relations teams must be able to consistently articulate the ways in which they are responding to such reforms during investor outreach and in written materials. The use of dividends and buy-backs may affect valuations in the short term, but long-term investors will be assessing the cost of capital, restructuring and investments to enable future growth.


Sources:

  1. Publication of Revised Japan’s Corporate Governance Code, Japan Exchange Group, 11 June 2021: https://www.jpx.co.jp/english/news/1020/20210611-01.html
  2. TSE to Publish a List of Companies That Have Disclosed Information Regarding “Action to Implement Management That Is Conscious of Cost of Capital and Stock Price”, Japan Exchange Group, 26 October 2023: https://www.jpx.co.jp/english/equities/follow-up/uorii50000004sse-att/o4sio70000000mi4.pdf
  3. Reminder Regarding the Criteria for Inclusion in the List of Companies That Have Disclosed Information Regarding “Action to Implement Management That Is Conscious of Cost of Capital and Stock Price”, Japan Exchange Group, 29 March 2024: https://www.jpx.co.jp/english/equities/follow-up/uorii50000004sse-att/dh3otn0000004cnc.pdf



Key Points

  • Last year, the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) announced stricter listing requirements and disclosure rules, with the aim of reversing the ‘value-trap’ reputation of the Japanese market.
  • The TSE’s request for companies to disclose their plans to improve their capital efficiency has been misinterpreted by some as a focus simply on the price-to-book ratio (PBR).
  • The changes have been somewhat effective in driving up the volume of disclosures, but the quality of disclosures generally leaves much room for improvement, in our view.
  • However, disclosure alone will not be sufficient to change valuations; companies will have to appropriately assess and act on the reasons for current valuation levels.

What Do Recent Reforms Mean for Japanese Companies?

Japanese corporate governance reforms have generated significant market interest over the years. These reforms have included the adoption and subsequent revisions of the stewardship code and corporate governance code which promoted board independence and diversity, and aimed to make boards more accountable and increase alignment with shareholders. Both domestic and international investors have closely followed market developments with the view that changes in disclosures, governance practices and corporate structures could improve the relatively lower valuations of Japanese stocks and attract investors to the region.

The updates to listing requirements announced in 2023 have again attracted attention. The Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) has tightened its listing criteria, encouraged companies to disclose plans to increase their capital efficiency, and announced stricter rules around diversity, disclosure and sustainability. The aim of the TSE reforms is to reverse the long-held ‘value-trap’ reputation of the Japanese market by urging listed companies “to be proactive in enhancing medium- to long-term value”1 and ultimately to attract global investors. To support this, the TSE also ruled that the companies listed in its top-tier ‘Prime’ market should make key disclosures simultaneously in English and Japanese from March 2025.

The disclosures on increasing capital efficiency are not a mandatory requirement, and there is no punishment imposed on the companies that fail to provide these details. However, the TSE is using an approach that is likely to encourage companies to make these disclosures voluntarily, such as sharing anonymous case studies online, highlighting strong disclosures, and publishing lists of disclosers. Next, it plans to broaden its scope to call out poor quality disclosures. With companies keen to be seen as setting a good example, this approach by the TSE may prove to be effective in the long run.

During a research trip to Japan, members of our responsible investment team and their Japan-based investment colleagues met the TSE, alongside other companies, to better understand the potential investment implications and opportunities associated with the change and to provide investor feedback from both Japanese and global perspectives.

Misplaced Focus on PBR1

One of the most interesting takeaways of our research was that the TSE reforms have been misunderstood in some ways, both domestically and internationally. The TSE’s drive to encourage companies to prioritize their capital efficiency and to increase their book value seems to have been interpreted by parts of the market and the media as a focus on just one measure – the price-to-book ratio (PBR). Following the TSE’s announcements, ‘PBR1’, which refers to the PBR of companies for which the ratio is below 1, has become a buzzword. While the PBR has been highlighted because it is easy to understand, the TSE is not intending to mandate one measure or a specific threshold (such as a PBR of less than 1). There is a misperception that if a company’s PBR is above 1, it is not necessary to meet the request to “take action to implement management that is conscious of cost of capital and stock price”.2

This focus on the PBR appears somewhat misunderstood because the desired outcome is to drive growth and higher valuations in the Japanese market, and therefore requires the consideration of a broader range of financial measures. Companies should decide and concentrate on what is relevant to their business. For example, the TSE has highlighted the PBR, return on invested capital (ROIC), weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and return on equity (ROE) as relevant measures. At Newton, we use PBR1 not as an end goal, but as a starting point for analysis. Furthermore, our investment team compares the ROE and ROIC across companies, in addition to reviewing the action plans the companies have disclosed to improve these measures. Finally, the TSE is targeting all companies and not just those with a PBR below 1 or with lower capital efficiency. Over time, there has been an increase in companies with a PBR of greater than 1 disclosing their plans, suggesting that this misunderstanding is gradually being resolved in Japan.

How Effective Have the Reforms Been?

The changes have been somewhat effective in driving up the volume of disclosures (at around 60% for the Prime market), but the quality of disclosures generally leaves much room for improvement, in our view. It appears that many companies have rushed into disclosing their plans to improve their capital efficiency without first having taken the time to analyze their business. A company may have a low valuation for a number of reasons, and it is good business practice for the management and the board to identify the reasons for the low valuation before pushing forward a solution. There is an open question as to whether companies, in particular smaller companies, currently have the appetite or the resource to perform this analysis thoroughly.

Actions Required to Achieve Management That Is Conscious of Cost of Capital and Stock Price

Source: Japan Exchange Group, Inc., 2024.3

Moreover, when implementing any changes, there is a balance to be struck between applying pressure on companies and avoiding a sharp response. Effectiveness often comes down to enforcement. In this instance, investors holding companies to account will be key. We believe that the success of these reforms will, in large part, be determined by how rigorously investors, both Japanese and global, assess the disclosures that the companies make and what details the investors demand of the investee companies. For example, if investors ask questions about the robustness of companies’ plans to increase their book value, it may encourage investee companies to be thorough in their assessment of their own business.

Not Just a Box-Ticking Exercise

While the TSE and regulator are placing increasing emphasis on efforts like disclosure reforms, in our opinion it is not a simple fix to address what we perceive to be a market discount. There is a risk that these reforms end up being a box-ticking exercise instead of having the intended effects. A significant structural change in company valuations will require incremental but widespread change, and we expect this to be slow moving and to require persistent efforts over the longer term. Disclosure alone will not be sufficient to change valuations; companies will have to appropriately assess the reasons for current valuation levels. In addition, isolated regulatory disclosures will be insufficient. Management and investor relations teams must be able to consistently articulate the ways in which they are responding to such reforms during investor outreach and in written materials. The use of dividends and buy-backs may affect valuations in the short term, but long-term investors will be assessing the cost of capital, restructuring and investments to enable future growth.


Sources:

  1. Publication of Revised Japan’s Corporate Governance Code, Japan Exchange Group, June 11, 2021: https://www.jpx.co.jp/english/news/1020/20210611-01.html
  2. TSE to Publish a List of Companies That Have Disclosed Information Regarding “Action to Implement Management That Is Conscious of Cost of Capital and Stock Price”, Japan Exchange Group, October 26, 2023: https://www.jpx.co.jp/english/equities/follow-up/uorii50000004sse-att/o4sio70000000mi4.pdf
  3. Reminder Regarding the Criteria for Inclusion in the List of Companies That Have Disclosed Information Regarding “Action to Implement Management That Is Conscious of Cost of Capital and Stock Price”, Japan Exchange Group, March 29, 2024: https://www.jpx.co.jp/english/equities/follow-up/uorii50000004sse-att/dh3otn0000004cnc.pdf